The Real Future


1. The general schema of prediction is a morbid view of the future; it reduces the future or even the present world to states and lays down a probability metric for them.

2. Contingency is real; it is not a schema. It is independent of states or even of time. An actual or past thing can still be said to be contingent in itself, that is, without thinking what other state it could be or could have been…